An Inning of Global Economy in Emergence of COVID-19:
A Content Analysis of Published Work
Satendra Kumar Singh1, Reetika Verma2
1Ph.D. Research Scholar, Department of Sociology,
Central University of Punjab, Bathinda, Punjab, India. 151401.
2Ph. D. Research Scholar, Department of Financial Administration,
Central University of Punjab, Bathinda, Punjab, India.
*Corresponding Author E-mail: singhsk1106@gmail.com, reetikaverma20@gmail.com
ABSTRACT:
This paper is based on the analysis of the content of various research papers, articles, reports, commentary papers, etc., published in the last two years related to the impact of COVID-19 on the global economy. The exact global impact of the pandemic is dingy, but various researchers have contributed to this area in the last few years. It is noted that this pandemic has had a significant impact, and the major inclinations went on the negative axis of attributes of the elements contributing to the global economy. However, various studies have shown how this pandemic has affected the global economy immensely. The paper sheds light on the impact of COVID-19 in several fields, such as the stock market, tourism sector, hospitality business, oil prices, poverty, employment, GDP growth, globalization, insurance sector, etc., which have been examined by various researchers. The purpose of this study is to conduct a content analysis of various research articles published in the years 2019, 2020 and 2021. As a result, a total number of 211 studies related to the impact of COVID-19 on the global economy are analysed here, and the correlation of COVID-19 with highly impacted areas has been covered through the secondary source of information. The selected studies for exploration over COVID-19 are associated with economic growth, banking sector, tourism industry, poverty, unemployment, stock market return, socio-economic effect, trade, inflation, small and medium enterprises and others. During the examination of data, It has been observed that thirst areas such as poverty, tourism, stock market and GDP (gross domestic product) were the centre for many researchers, and it has a significant impact as analysed by scholars.
KEYWORDS: Content Analysis, Pandemic, Unemployment, Tourism, Financial Market, Global Economy, GDP, Poverty, Hospitality Business, COVID-19.
1. INTRODUCTION:
The pandemic of COVID-19 has not only led to the significant loss of human life across the world but also drastically affected various sectors and the industrial growth of major economies. The devastating disruption caused by the pandemic has led to poor economic growth in most of the nations (Narendran & Baluch, 2023). The tourism sector, hospitality business, financial market, banking sector, medium and small enterprises, travel agencies, agriculture sector, food chains and many more sectors have suffered due to the COVID-19 pandemic (Sarkar et al., 2021). It has also directly impacted the income of the people due to migration and loss of jobs. Although exact global economic impacts are not yet clear, lots of articles, reports and research papers have indicated that it has led to a situation of unemployment, GDP loss, higher poverty rates and poor growth of major sectors or industries for most of the nations all over the world (Ayedee & Manocha, 2020). Many countries have introduced various preventive measures, but a lot more efforts are still needed to reduce the impact on various sectors of the economy and to revive the world (Toshniwal & Narendran, 2020).
2. RESEARCH OBJECTIVES:
The main aim of this study is to examine the content and different properties and attributes of the various research articles published during the emergence of COVID-19 in relation to its impact on various arenas.
3. SCOPE:
In order to analyse the content of the published work, a total of 211 studies were considered. These studies are related to the impact of COVID-19 on various economies related to different macroeconomic factors. The studies were taken from various databases and were published in 2019, 2020 and 2021.
4. RESEARCH QUESTIONS:
This research paper seeks to answer the following questions about various studies published in various international journals related to the impact of the recent pandemic on the global economy:
· What is the major subject covered in the published articles?
· What research methods have been used in the studies?
· Which tests and models were employed in the studies?
· What was the sample size or total number of nations included in each study?
· In which year the articles were published?
· How many authors contributed to each of the studies considered?
5. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY:
This study employs a descriptive content analysis technique and quantifies various aspects related to the impact of COVID-19 in the published articles. A total of 211 research studies related to the impact of COVID-19 were examined. The publication year, the methodology adopted, the sample size considered, the number of authors of the studies, and other related information have been analyzed and summarized in tabular form.
5.1. Databases Used:
A total of 211 studies were identified. Different sources were used to search the studies Table 1 shows different databases used and number of studies searched from each database.
Table 1: Sources of Studies
|
Sr. No. |
Source of studies |
Number of studies |
|
1 |
Scopus |
10 |
|
2 |
Springer |
26 |
|
3 |
Elsevier |
11 |
|
4 |
Wiley |
35 |
|
5 |
Taylor and Francis |
14 |
|
6 |
JSTOR |
7 |
|
7 |
SAGE |
21 |
|
8 |
Science Direct |
24 |
|
9 |
Proquest |
43 |
|
10 |
Others |
20 |
|
|
Total |
211 |
SOURCE: Author’s Compilation.
5.2. Types of Studies Included:
For the purpose of content analysis, different web articles, research papers, review papers, and e-books were studied. Table 2 shows the types of studies taken into consideration.
Table 2: Types of Studies Included
|
Sr. No. |
Type of article |
Total studies |
|
1 |
Research paper |
182 |
|
2 |
Review paper |
6 |
|
3 |
Discussion paper |
2 |
|
4 |
Academic paper |
2 |
|
5 |
Report |
2 |
|
6 |
Editorial |
2 |
|
7 |
Web article |
7 |
|
8 |
Magazine article |
2 |
|
9 |
Conference article |
2 |
|
10 |
Research report |
2 |
|
11 |
e-book |
2 |
|
|
Total |
211 |
SOURCE: Author’s Compilation.
5.3. Year of Publication:
The studies considered in this paper are published from the year 2019 to 2021.Table 3 shows month of publication of each study.
Table 3: Month of Publication
|
Sr. No. |
Month of publication |
Total studies |
|
1 |
March, 2019 |
0 |
|
2 |
April, 2019 |
0 |
|
3 |
May, 2019 |
0 |
|
4 |
June, 2019 |
0 |
|
5 |
July, 2019 |
0 |
|
6 |
August, 2019 |
0 |
|
7 |
September, 2019 |
1 |
|
8 |
October, 2019 |
0 |
|
9 |
November, 2019 |
0 |
|
10 |
December, 2019 |
0 |
|
11 |
January, 2020 |
2 |
|
12 |
February, 2020 |
3 |
|
13 |
March, 2020 |
4 |
|
14 |
April, 2020 |
11 |
|
15 |
May, 2020 |
9 |
|
16 |
June, 2020 |
10 |
|
17 |
July, 2020 |
12 |
|
18 |
August,2020 |
13 |
|
19 |
September,2020 |
8 |
|
20 |
October,2020 |
10 |
|
21 |
November,2020 |
16 |
|
22 |
December,2020 |
19 |
|
23 |
January,2021 |
16 |
|
24 |
Febuary,2021 |
13 |
|
25 |
March,2021 |
12 |
|
26 |
April,2021 |
13 |
|
27 |
May,2021 |
12 |
|
28 |
June,2021 |
18 |
|
29 |
July,2021 |
9 |
|
|
TOTAL |
211 |
SOURCE: Author’s Compilation.
5.4. Total Number of Authors in Studies:
Table 4 shows total number of authors in studies.
Table 4: Number of Authors in Studies
|
Sr. No. |
Total studies |
No. of authors |
|
1 |
35 |
1 |
|
2 |
58 |
2 |
|
3 |
51 |
3 |
|
4 |
35 |
4 |
|
5 |
13 |
5 |
|
6 |
9 |
6 |
|
7 |
3 |
7 |
|
8 |
2 |
8 |
|
9 |
5 |
More Than 8 |
|
Total |
211 |
|
SOURCE: Author’s Compilation.
5.5. Number of Nations Included in Studies:
Various nations have been analysed by researchers all over the world. Some studies focused on one nation only while some studies were related to more than 50 nations. Table 5 shows number of nations considered in each of the study.
Table 5: Number of Nations in Studies
|
Sr. No. |
Sample size/ no. of nations |
Total studies |
|
1 |
1 to 5 |
103 |
|
2 |
6 to 10 |
10 |
|
3 |
11 to 15 |
8 |
|
4 |
16 to 20 |
2 |
|
5 |
21 to 25 |
1 |
|
6 |
26 to 30 |
0 |
|
7 |
31 to 35 |
0 |
|
8 |
36 to 40 |
1 |
|
9 |
41 to 45 |
0 |
|
10 |
More Than 45 |
86 |
|
|
Total |
211 |
SOURCE: Author’s Compilation.
5.6. Major issues covered in Studies:
Different articles have studied various issues related to the impact of COVID-19 on economies. Different aspects covered in each of the selected studies is shown in Table 6.
Table 6: Domain Covered in Studies
|
Sr. No. |
Domain covered |
Total studies |
|
1 |
GDP |
27 |
|
2 |
Poverty |
10 |
|
3 |
Stock Market |
32 |
|
4 |
Equity Sector |
3 |
|
5 |
Tourism |
19 |
|
6 |
Per Capita Savings |
1 |
|
7 |
Per Capita Consumption |
1 |
|
8 |
Employment |
5 |
|
9 |
Financial markets |
7 |
|
10 |
Trade |
6 |
|
11 |
Inflation |
4 |
|
12 |
Tax evasion |
1 |
|
13 |
Food supply chain |
2 |
|
14 |
Value chain |
2 |
|
15 |
Oil price |
3 |
|
16 |
Unemployment |
9 |
|
17 |
Investment portfolio |
1 |
|
18 |
SME, MSME sectors |
4 |
|
19 |
Economic growth |
5 |
|
20 |
Hotel industry |
1 |
|
21 |
Hospitality business |
4 |
|
22 |
Insurance sector |
2 |
|
23 |
Bond market |
1 |
|
24 |
Monetary/fiscal policy |
4 |
|
25 |
International hrm |
1 |
|
26 |
Bilateral trade |
1 |
|
27 |
Recession |
3 |
|
28 |
Health system |
2 |
|
29 |
Firms |
1 |
|
30 |
Global research |
1 |
|
31 |
Retailers |
1 |
|
32 |
Bank |
2 |
|
33 |
Economy |
7 |
|
34 |
Socio-economic effect |
5 |
|
35 |
Others |
33 |
|
|
Total |
211 |
SOURCE: Author’s Compilation.
5.7. Models/ tests used in each Study:
For analysing the impact of COVID-19, researchers have adopted different research tools and techniques. Table 7 shows different Models/Tests/Approaches Employed in Studies.
Table 7: Models/ Tests/ Approaches Employed in Studies
|
Sr. No. |
Methodoly/ tests/ models |
Total studies |
|
1 |
Correlation |
15 |
|
2 |
Regression |
19 |
|
3 |
Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test |
1 |
|
4 |
Multiple Regression Model |
3 |
|
5 |
Multivariate Statistical Analysis |
3 |
|
6 |
Least Square Model |
2 |
|
7 |
OLS Analysis |
5 |
|
8 |
ADL Model |
1 |
|
9 |
ARDL Test |
4 |
|
10 |
Cross Country Analysis |
1 |
|
11 |
Theoretical Analysis |
14 |
|
12 |
SEM |
3 |
|
13 |
Qualitative Analysis |
1 |
|
14 |
Descriptive Statistics |
7 |
|
15 |
Quantitative Analysis |
2 |
|
16 |
Unit Root Test |
4 |
|
17 |
GARCH |
3 |
|
18 |
EGARCH |
2 |
|
19 |
TARCH |
1 |
|
20 |
ANN Model |
2 |
|
21 |
Benchmark Model |
2 |
|
22 |
Critical Review |
2 |
|
23 |
Least Square Relapse |
1 |
|
24 |
TVP-VAR Model |
9 |
|
25 |
Event Study Method |
6 |
|
26 |
Granger Causality |
1 |
|
27 |
Analytical Hierarchy |
2 |
|
28 |
CGE Model |
7 |
|
29 |
Microeconomic Model |
1 |
|
30 |
ARIMA Model |
3 |
|
31 |
Scenario Analysis |
4 |
|
32 |
T tests |
2 |
|
33 |
Decision Tree Approach |
1 |
|
34 |
Comparative Analysis |
7 |
|
35 |
Others |
70 |
|
|
Total |
211 |
SOURCE: Author’s Compilation.
6. MAJOR FINDINGS:
The COVID-19 pandemic has affected the global economy immensely. The world’s major economies, developed, developing or underdeveloped economies, have faced huge losses in terms of income, employment, GDP, health sector, tourism industry, stock market return and many more. Various researchers have measured the impact of a pandemic on the global economy on the basis of various parameters (Mathew & Kuriakose, 2017). It is argued that the performance of the stock market and the growth of the gross domestic product declined significantly throughout the time of the pandemic (Rao, 2014). The negative impact of the pandemic on the tourism industry is also presented by various researchers, and it is indicated that the tourism industry in various nations suffered a lot due to various restrictions during the time of the pandemic. Studies have indicated that as a serious consequence of this pandemic, the rate of unemployment is going to be higher in the coming years and to overcome the impact of the pandemic, a period of around five years would be taken. Sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia and Southeast Asia are found to be at higher economic risk of COVID-19. It is also argued that the number of people in poverty will increase by around 150 million people due to this pandemic (Niranjan & Anjaneya, 2018). The growth of economies has declined due to the lockdown and other measures taken to face this crisis. High volatility in stock prices during the COVID-19 is another major challenge brought up by this pandemic. It is also identified by various research studies that there is a significant effect of COVID-19 on crude oil, global financial stock market, banking sector performance and various other sectors. The impact on developed and emerging economies is varied.
6.1. Findings of Various Studies Indicated Following Important Results:
6.1.1. Tourism Sector and Covid-19:
In the context of tourism sector, countries like Georgia, the Philippines, Thailand, Spain, Greece and Croatia are the major shock-affected countries (Paul, 2021) because such countries are considered as regulatory country in the Asia and Europe continent. A study related to impacts on the major economies indicated that U.S. impacts are estimated to be higher than those for China and the Rest of world in percentage terms because a higher proportion of the U.S. economy is impacted by the mandatory closures (Wei, 2020). It is also indicated that COVID-19 has had a significant adverse impact on Pakistan’s tourism sector, especially because a large number of SMEs operate in this sector (Khan, 2012; Dulababu, 2010).
6.1.2. GDP and Covid-19:
A study related to the impact of this pandemic on the economic output of the US estimated the reduction in economic activity to drag down the annualized quarterly growth rate of real GDP to a drop of -20 to -22 per cent compared to the usual circumstances for the second quarter of 2020 (Iqbal & Tanty, 2021; Gharehgozli, 2020). A cross-country result also suggested that high fatality rates are associated with strongly adverse economic growth effects (Winkler).
According to a report, the pandemic has shown up many of the structural economic deficits in African countries, which have exacerbated the negative economic impacts of COVID-19 (Palesa Shipalana, 2021).
6.1.3. Stock Market and Covid-19:
The findings of a study suggested that all the G-20 nations have experienced a very high level of risk during the Global Financial Crisis and COVID-19 as all the countries’ stock markets are critical during these two periods (Verma, 2021), but the magnitude of risk is found to be highest during COVID-19 period compared to other regimes in most of the countries (Bhabani Sankar Rout, 2020). Empirical results suggested that COVID-19 has a negative but short-term impact on stock markets of affected countries, and the impact of COVID-19 on stock markets has bidirectional spill-over effects between Asian countries and European and American countries (Qing He, 2020). The results of a study identified that the pandemic announcement provided considerable negative shock to the global stock market (Min Liu, 2020). A study's findings suggested that there is a significant effect of COVID-19 on global financial stock markets, which is varied for developed and emerging economies (Gurmeet Singh, 2021). It is also argued that this pandemic has led to significant declines in almost all economic sectors, stock market crash, market collapse, negative oil prices, disruption of trade flows, etc. (Verma & Behera, 2024). It seems that this global health problem and the associated economic and social crisis will lead to the deterioration of most macroeconomic indicators in the coming years as well (BĂHNĂREANU, 2020).
6.1.4. Poverty and Covid-19:
It is also indicated that COVID-19-related lockdown measures have led to a fall in output(Bullappa & Shivkumar, 2018), and almost 150 million people are projected to fall into extreme poverty and food insecurity(David Laborde, 2020). Some researchers suggest a need to broaden social assistance programs to cover the existing poor and the new poor(Olivia, 2020).
6.1.5. Unemployment and Covid-19:
A study related to the impact of COVID-19 on unemployment highlighted that the pandemic has increased the unemployment rate robustly in primarily European economies (Chi-Wei Su, 2021). It is also indicated that country-level rates of informality in labour markets are linked to more substantial negative impacts and lower resilience, suggesting that implementing policies to protect informal workers is needed (Nicolas Bottan, 2020).
7. CONCLUSION:
The entire global economy has suffered a lot due to the pandemic, and it is also argued that this crisis will expand economic inequality significantly. The COVID-19 pandemic will have long-lasting impacts on the global economy, and the economic recovery process needs strict government measures and proper implementation by different groups of society. On the basis of various studies included in this paper, it is evident that the COVID-19 pandemic has created lots of disruptions in the growth and development of most nations, and its drastic impacts will affect the global economy in the upcoming years, too. There is a need for urgent action to revive the global economy from the crisis. Most countries' economic output and productivity growth are expected to face a downfall in the upcoming years. Based on the findings of various published articles, it is clearly evident that the global damage caused by this pandemic is primarily driven by fall in demand, disrupting economic activity, loss of GDP, fall in stock market returns, fall in the profitability of hotel and tourism industry, higher unemployment rates, migration, loss of economic output and many more.
The major limitation of this content analysis study is that only 211 research papers are included from various databases related to the topic of ‘global impact of COVID-19’ and this number is not enough to highlight each and every aspect of this area. Future content analysis related to this topic can be performed, considering more studies related to this area.
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Received on 21.03.2024 Revised on 13.07.2024 Accepted on 24.10.2024 Published on 17.03.2025 Available online from March 26, 2025 Asian Journal of Management. 2025;16(1):43-48. DOI: 10.52711/2321-5763.2025.00007 ©AandV Publications All right reserved
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